It’s Steelers week in Baltimore and the Ravens have been preparing for this all season long. Baltimore wants to beat Pittsburgh this season after the Steelers took all three games last season.
In many ways this game is the season for Baltimore and Pittsburgh. If the Ravens win they will be 6-5 and, for the moment have a tiebreaker over Pittsburgh. If Pittsburgh wins, they will drop the Ravens to 5-6 and most likely out of the playoff hunt. Each team has problems with injuries going in to this game too.
For Pittsburgh, safety Troy Polamalu is likely out with his second knee injury of the year. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger suffered a minor concussion last Sunday against Kansas City and may be held out of Sunday’s game as to not risk further injury. Roethlisberger’s injury is possibly more devastating to Pittsburgh than Polamalu’s. He has beaten the Ravens four straight times and plays some of his best games against Baltimore. The Ravens have struggled with their secondary all season and Roethlisberger does have the ability to pick apart a suspect secondary.
On Baltimore’s side, Terrell Suggs is doing everything he can to play, but I don’t think he will play this week. Suggs is still nursing a knee injury and with his big contract, I think the Ravens will hold him out. Ray Lewis and Ed Reed both have foot injuries, however, if they can walk they will play. Lewis and Reed simply don’t miss Steelers games unless they are badly injured. One of the injuries that I’m worried about is Joe Flacco’s ankle. Flacco hurt his ankle against Minnesota and hasn’t been as effective since that game. I’m interested in seeing how Flacco does against Pittsburgh.
How do these injuries impact gameplans and how each team plays? For Pittsburgh, if Roethlisberger doesn’t play and Dennis Dixon gets the start, I expect to see a heavy dose of Rashard Mendenhall. The Ravens didn’t see much of Mendenhall last season because Lewis broke his shoulder on a hit in September. He has been playing well this season and has taken the starting job away from Willie Parker. Mendenhall has the ability to cause problems because he is a big physical back and we have seen what similar running backs have done to the Ravens this season. Polamalu’s absence in the secondary will most likely be filled by Tyrone Carter. Carter has filled in well for the Steelers this year and I wouldn’t expect anything less.
For the Ravens, I expect Jarret Johnson to fill in again for Suggs and Paul Kruger, among others, will again rotate and get extensive play at the other outside linebacker position. Baltimore’s defense has improved steadily since the beginning of the year and I wouldn’t expect Steelers week to be any different. The offense, however, has seemed to regress since the Denver game in Week 8. I expect to see the Ravens use more of a jumbo package and work the newly-signed Charles Ali in to the offense in front of Le’Ron McClain. Flacco may have an easier time throwing the ball on a Steelers defense without Polamalu and an offensive line that has done a pretty good job of protecting him all season. I’d like to see Cam Cameron be a little more aggressive than he was in the games against the Steelers last season.
Add it all up and you get a hard-hitting, nasty game between these two bitter rivals. Prediction: Ravens 21, Steelers 20